Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.404461 0.443044 0.484289 0.531759 0.585011 0.643047 0.711273
2025-11-16 0.343374 0.397643 0.459732 0.536466 0.629358 0.738937 0.879120
2025-11-23 0.303592 0.364650 0.437729 0.532511 0.653468 0.804398 1.009738
2025-11-30 0.277843 0.343591 0.425185 0.535268 0.682039 0.874082 1.149594
2025-12-07 0.253723 0.321301 0.407697 0.528138 0.694751 0.921776 1.262858
2025-12-14 0.234019 0.302498 0.392337 0.521235 0.705494 0.965904 1.374019
2025-12-21 0.213749 0.281070 0.371323 0.504009 0.699074 0.983602 1.446326
2025-12-28 0.204786 0.274150 0.369282 0.512794 0.730196 1.058323 1.614046
2026-01-04 0.196177 0.266942 0.366035 0.519122 0.757597 1.129292 1.783664
2026-01-11 0.187608 0.259095 0.361119 0.522226 0.779786 1.193530 1.949256
2026-01-18 0.179556 0.251400 0.355754 0.523954 0.799510 1.255068 2.117244
2026-01-25 0.172717 0.245008 0.351801 0.527365 0.821902 1.322765 2.304706
2026-02-01 0.162698 0.233396 0.339359 0.516557 0.820052 1.349088 2.419269
2026-02-08 0.157048 0.228124 0.336399 0.520982 0.844641 1.425056 2.642572
2026-02-15 0.150042 0.220324 0.328910 0.517167 0.854177 1.473973 2.817267
2026-02-22 0.144988 0.215276 0.325457 0.519827 0.875351 1.546715 3.053046
2026-03-01 0.138378 0.207387 0.316894 0.512946 0.878200 1.583819 3.215474
2026-03-08 0.132299 0.200043 0.308802 0.506284 0.880776 1.620404 3.382009
2026-03-15 0.124767 0.189978 0.295637 0.489655 0.862813 1.612995 3.443054
2026-03-22 0.122323 0.188166 0.296292 0.498136 0.894532 1.712744 3.781922
2026-03-29 0.119596 0.185732 0.295718 0.504245 0.921956 1.806216 4.121766
2026-04-05 0.116498 0.182516 0.293592 0.507240 0.943201 1.888307 4.446764
2026-04-12 0.113362 0.179082 0.290887 0.508908 0.961750 1.966259 4.775164